Looming recession will boost teacher recruitment (and retention)

Teacher recruitment is likely to experience a welcome boost caused by the inevitable recession that has been brought about by the coronavirus pandemic.

A new analysis from the Education Policy Institute (EPI) says that both recruitment and retention challenges could be eased in the coming months.

It predicts that around 1,800 more graduates could go into initial teacher training (ITT) programmes in the next two years, which would be enough to reduce recruitment shortfalls by between 20 and 40 per cent each year.

The EPI analysis also predicts that thousands of teachers will remain at the chalkface when they might otherwise have quit.

The basis of the EPI’s predictions is the Bank of England’s forecast that unemployment will peak at nine per cent this year and will remain high until 2022. The analysis draws comparisons with the recruitment boost seen in the profession after the 2008 financial crash.

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