The warning has been made by government advisor Professor John Howson, a leading expert in teacher supply and recruitment, who has predicted a supply crisis worse than in the early 2000s.
His comments came as figures from UCAS, published last week, gave an early indication of teacher enrolments onto initial teacher training courses for 2015/16 – those trainees who will be qualified in time to start teaching for the start of the 2016/17 academic year.
Overall, 28,080 trainees teachers have so far been placed on courses against a Department for Education (DfE) target of 29,787 – a shortfall of 1,707.
However, within this number, 14,330 secondary trainees have been placed against a target of 18,539 – a shortfall of 4,209. Break down the secondary trainee figures further, and notable shortfalls in key subjects are revealed:
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