This will be my final article for SecEd as I step down as general secretary of the NAHT this summer.
Future pieces will be penned by my successor Paul Whiteman, fresh from the frontline of protecting school leaders in their most challenging moments.
I wanted to leave with a wide-ranging sketch of the prospects for the next few years in education. But the fact is that there is very little sense of direction.
The only certainty is uncertainty. Policies bubble up and fade away over an increasingly short life-cycle. Grand schemes, long in the planning, are disrupted by political shocks before they even begin.
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