AI and the future of humanity: Three scenarios

AI will soon match or exceed human intelligence across all cognitive domains. But while some believe that AI will never match human traits like creativity and abstract reasoning, Dr Dylan Wiliam, Dr John Hattie and Dr Arran Hamilton are not so confident...

Educators are abuzz about AI. New tools like ChatGPT promise personalised learning and teacher assistance. But amid the enthusiasm, we must not lose sight of the bigger picture. AI’s implications extend far beyond classrooms, to the very future of humanity.

It is understandable that many focus on AI’s near-term potential for education. We, too, are excited by prospects like automated feedback and teacher workload reduction.

But rapid advances could soon propel AI beyond just a classroom aid. By the end of the decade, machines may match or exceed human intelligence across all cognitive domains.

This could fundamentally reshape society. Yet many cling to the convenient fiction that AI can never emulate innate human traits like creativity, empathy, and abstract reasoning. We should not be so confident. AI algorithms can already replicate and even surpass many of our highest mental faculties.

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