A substantial risk: Teacher supply at secondary level is in 'critical state'

Teacher supply at secondary level is in a “critical state” and represents a “substantial risk to the quality of education” in England as recruitment shortfalls show no sign of easing.
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The sixth annual Teacher Labour Market research (McLean et al, 2024) has warned government that “ambitious, radical and cost-effective policy options are urgently needed”.

The report, published by the National Foundation for Educational Research (NFER) paints a now all-to-familiar picture:


Recruitment and retention

The study bases its 2024/25 ITT recruitment projections on applications made up until February 2024. It predicts that recruitment this year will be around 61% of target.


Target trouble: Forecast of 2024/25 ITT recruitment vs target (source McLean et al, 2024)


The study finds that more generous bursaries are helping to improve the recruitment picture. Bursaries have increased in eight subjects this year and these subjects are predicted to see a 31% increase in recruits – compared to 3% in subjects where the bursary did not increase.

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